Friday, September 26, 2014

Another Single Year "What Herkimer County Might Look Like" Table on Housing

Yesterday I posted a piece about what Herkimer County's single year demographic data might look like IF SUCH A PIECE WERE DONE BY THE CENSUS BUREAU.

Single year estimates are restricted to areas of 65,000 population or more for statistic reasons. Herkimer County, having a population of less than 65,000 therefore doesn't get single year estimates. They have to wait until the three year estimates are released (October 23rd) to get new information.

Given that the MSA is the combination of Herkimer AND Oneida Counties, and given that we have Oneida Counties numbers on their own, it is PLAUSIBLE to simply subtract Oneida County from the MSA and then you'd be left with what is essentially a Herkimer County Single Year Estimate.

Without getting into a discussion of all the statistical reasons THIS IS PROBLEMATIC, let me again offer the following:

THE DATA BELOW IS NOT A PRODUCT OF THE US CENSUS BUREAU AND DOES NOT REPRESENT A STATISTICALLY SOUND PROCESS FOR DETERMINING THE CHARACTERISTICS OF THE POPULATION OF HERKIMER COUNTY. 

HOWEVER, IT IS A MATHEMATICALLY ACCURATE  REFLECTION OF THE UTICA ROME MSA MINUS THE ONEIDA COUNTY DATA FOR THE 2013 SINGLE YEAR ESTIMATES. 

THE RESULTS ARE ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE REMAINING AREA, NAMELY HERKIMER COUNTY.

So with that in mind here is are housing related data that MAY reflect what the three year official estimates will look like in about a month from now. Please view them with this in mind!